USD/JPY 24/11

November 24, 2009

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen fell across the board and was among the worst performers of the day. The pair continues to move at a very slow pace. Still, the pair has no clear cues for next trend development. USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.56 and with a high of 89.17. Today, the Bank of Japan Monthly Report is expected.


Resistance

89.35

89.50

89.65

Support

88.90

88.75

88.50

 

EUR/USD 24/11

November 24, 2009

USD Dollar (USD)




The rally in Europe and Wall Street put pressure on the Dollar that fell across the board and rose only against the Yen. The existing home sales data that came at 6.1M, better than the 5.7M expected and comments about interest rate staying at low levels for some time fueled stocks. Dow Jones closed at the highest level in 13 months and ended the session with a gain of 1.29%. NASDAQ rose by 1.4% and the S&P 500 increased by 1.36%. Gold (XAU) posted new record highs above $1,170. Crude Oil jumped at the early trading hours but closed almost unchanged near the 77.5$ a barrel. Today, the GDP expected at 3% vs. 3.5% previously. The CB Consumer Confidence expected unchanged at 47.7. Also, later Federal Open Market Committee will be expected.


EURO (EUR)

The Euro strengthened against the Dollar trying to touch the 1.5 level but failed to breach above. The French PMI came out 54.2 worse than expected 55.4. The German Manufacturing PMI came out 52 better than expected 51.7. The Manufacturing PMI came out 51 worse than expected 51.4. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4832 and with a high of 1.5. Today, the German GDP expected unchanged at 0.7%. The German IFO Business Climate Index expected 92.5 vs. 91.9 previously. The Industrial New Orders expected at 0.6% vs. 2% previously.


Resistance

1.5010

1.5050

1.5090

Support

1.4920

1.4880

1.4855

 

WORLD FOREX NEWS 23/11

November 23, 2009

U.S. stock index futures rose about 1 percent on Monday, looking to snap a three-session losing streak as commodity and natural resource stocks gained on a falling U.S. dollar.

James Bullard, the St. Louis Federal Reserve  president, said Sunday the central bank should extend its mortgage-related assets purchase program to give policy-makers more flexibility as they help the economy recover from a painful recession. 

The U.S. dollar index .DXY dropped 0.8 percent on Monday, while January crude futures jumped 1.3 percent to $78.45 per barrel. Gold hit a new record high at $1,167.45 an ounce.

"The dollar is pulling back, and the trend has been that a weak dollar pushes up commodities and lifts stocks," said Arthur Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co in New York.

"After the dip we just had, you'll see an influx of buyers, which could lift the market possibly more than 1 percent across the board," he added.

S&P 500 futures SPc1 rose 11.5 points and were above fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract. Dow Jones industrial average futures DJc1 gained 95 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures NDc1 added 17 points.

According to a survey released on Monday, the National Association for Business Economists boosted its forecast for economic growth over the next year, though it also said the jobless rate would remain high.

Hewlett-Packard Co (HPQ.N), the last Dow component to report quarterly results, is scheduled after the market closes. Campbell Soup Co (CPB.N) is also set to report.

Monday's economic data will include October existing home sales.

Ciena Corp (CIEN.O) will buy Nortel Networks Corp's (NRTLQ.PK) optical networking and carrier ethernet unit for $769 million after trumping Nokia Siemens Networks in a three-day auction, sources told Reuters on Sunday. 

Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) has talked with News Corp (NWSA.O) about a tie-up that would involve News getting paid to take its news websites off Google Inc (GOOG.O), a source familiar with the matter said on Sunday.

China's annual economic growth will reach 10 percent this quarter and rise even faster in the first quarter of 2010, an official of the State Council Development Research Centre said on Monday.

 

USD/JPY 23/11

November 23, 2009

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Japanese currency still flat in a tight range around 89.00 areas, pair has no clear cues for next trend development. USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.67 and with a high of 89.02. Today, Japanese banks will be closed in observance of Labor Thanksgiving Day.


Resistance

89.15

89.40

89.65

Support

88.80

88.60

88.30

 

EUR/USD 23/11

November 23, 2009

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar finished the day and the week with gains across the board except against the Yen but fell in the beginning of the trading session on Sunday. The fall in stocks with an increase in risk aversion helped Greenback recover. Wall Street ended Friday in negative. The Dow Jones ended with a loss of 0.14%, The NASDAQ fell by -0.5% and the S&P 500 decreased by -0.32%. The Gold (XAU) rose and closed above the 1050$ an ounce. The Crude Oil closed almost unchanged near the 77.5$ a barrel. Today, The Existing Home Sales expected at 5.7M vs. 5.57M previously.


EURO (EUR)

The Dollar posted gains against the Euro after falling in the last two weeks. The pair is still moving in ranges between the highs of the year at 1.5060 and 1.4800. The rally of the Dollar was not enough on Friday to break below the support. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.48 and with a high of 1.4934. Today, The French PMI expected at 55.4 vs. 55.3 previously. The German Manufacturing PMI expected at 51.7 vs. 51.1 previously. The Manufacturing PMI expected at 51.4 vs. 50.7 previously. Also, the ECB President, Jean-Claude Trichet will speak.


Resistance

1.4900

1.4935

1.4975

Support

1.4800

1.4770

1.4730

 

WORLD MARKET NEWS 20/11

November 20, 2009

The European currency slumped Friday as waning confidence about the global economic outlook prompted investors to seek refuge in the U.S dollar and Yen. The EUR slipped to below $1.49 down 1% from yesterday. The EUR was also down 0.3% at 132.31 yen after dipping close to its 200-day moving average at 132.13.

A drop in demand for risk triggered an overnight sell-off in global equity markets as well as in oil, gold and other commodities. Declines by oil and gold reinforced support for the low-yielding currencies, putting more pressure on the European currency.

The currency pair remains trapped in a stalemate between support at $1.4800 and resistance at $1.5050 strategists said, with only bullish U.S. data and equity possible triggers for a break-out to the upside. The Euro-Zone currency was is headed lower vs. the USD as investors remain sensitive to recent efforts by the European Central Bank to talk the single currency down to support export-based economies.

 

JPY/USD 20/11

November 20, 2009

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen rose to a two-week high versus the Euro and the Dollar gained as the biggest drop in global stocks this month prompted hedging against losses on investments funded by loans in the Japanese and U.S. currencies. USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.63 and with a high of 89.43. No economic data expected today.


Resistance

89.07

89.48

89.70

Support

88.64

 

EUR/USD 20/11

November 20, 2009

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar strengthened against most majors after The U.S. economic recovery will extend into next year as manufacturing expands and the pace of firings abates, reports today indicated, Unemployment Claims came out better than expected at 505K vs. 503K forecast. NASDAQ and Dow Jones fell by 1.66% and 0.9% respectively, Crude oil fell by 2.7% closed at 77.4$ a barrel, Gold (XAU) closed almost unchanged at 1142$ an ounce. No economic data expected today.


EURO (EUR)

The Euro decreased versus the Dollar and the Yen as stock markets fell, discouraging demand for higher-yielding assets. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4843 and with a high of 1.4965. Today, German PPI is expected at 0.1% vs. -0.5% forecast, ECB President Trichet Speaks.


Resistance

1.4928

1.4967

1.4990

Support

1.4880

1.4843

1.4808

 

WORLD FOREX NEWS 19/11

November 19, 2009

The Dollar continued to weaken versus most majors as carry trade and risk appetite remained the main source for the Dollar's weakness. The Widening deficit in the Trade Balance and an unexpected drop in Michigan's Consumer Sentiment worried investors about the recovery but gains in stocks left risk appetite strong. NASDAQ and Dow Jones gained by 2.62% and 2.46% respectively. Crude Oil declined by -0.98% the past week closing at 76.35$ a barrel after probably making a false break below 76$. Gold (XAU) continued making new highs closing at 1,118.41$ an ounce with a 1.8% weekly gain. Looking ahead, Retail Sales on Monday are expected stronger with 1% versus -1.5% prior as consumer spending rises. U.S CPI will be released on Wednesday and is expected with 0.1% versus 0.2% prior, CPI will reveal more information on the looming inflation.

The Euro gained by 0.4% versus the Dollar the past week keeping with the uptrend, but a failure to break above the 1.5050 level may signal a forming of a double top in the EUR/USD that could lead to sharp declines in the Euro. German Prelim GDP was released weaker than expected with 0.7% but still showed growth. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a high of 1.5047 and a low of 1.4820. Looking ahead, European CPI is expected unchanged with -0.1% and will be released on Monday. Trade Balance is expected with -0.9B versus 1B prior and will be released on Tuesday. German PPI is expected higher with 0.1% versus -0.5% prior on Friday.

The Pound gained 0.4% versus the Dollar after holding above key technical support levels. Fitch Ratings held a cautious outlook for the U.K and said the AAA credit rating is at risk. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a high of 1.6843 and a low of 1.6515. Looking ahead, CPI on Tuesday is expected stronger with 1.4% versus 1.1% prior. MPC Meeting Minutes will be released on Wednesday along with CBI Industrial Order Expectations. Retail Sales are expected stronger with 0.6% versus 0% prior on Thursday.

 

JPY/USD 19/11

November 19, 2009

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen weakened against the Dollar trading with a low of 89 and with a high of 89.48. In addition, Japanese stocks fell, led by real- estate companies on concern sales of new equity will dilute earnings per share and after investment ratings were cut. Today, Bank of Japan will release its Interest Decision expected to remain at 0.1%.


Resistance

89.46

89.72

90.41

Support

89

88.73

 

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